The False Consensus Effect The surest way to corrupt a youth is to instruct him to hold in higher esteem those who think alike …Read moreThe False Consensus Effect
The Influence of Anchoring The greatest deception men suffer is from their own opinions. – Leonardo da Vinci Without any …Read moreThe Influence of Anchoring
Wrong, You Probably Are From principles is derived probability, but truth or certainty is obtained only from facts. — …Read moreWrong, You Probably Are
Estimating the Truth The 50-50-90 rule: Anytime you have a 50-50 chance of getting something right, there’s a 90% …Read moreEstimating the Truth